Shadow Election Soft Launch

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Shadow Election soft launched in the United States.

Within a week of soft launching Shadow Election in the US we have already started to respond to users by including three more presidential candidates who could still technically be the next President of the United States:  Gary JohnsonRon Paul, Jill Stein.

Together with Barack Obama and Mitt Romney there is now a Democrat, a Republican, a Libertarian, a Social Conservative and a Green. At least in Shadow Election the American political debate will not be restricted to bipartisan politics.

We are aiming to put people back in the driving seat of the political debate. As many democratic systems are failing long before people don’t turn up to the ballot box. Political, finance, business and media interests are often dominating which candidates and which issues are up for debate.

Turning off voters who are becoming skeptical and disinterested in the whole democratic process – especially regarding younger voters in developed democracies. This is dangerous as decisions are made by those who turn up and politics is too important to leave to politicians. So we need to make a service that is so easy, engaging and social that people feel there is a better way to become involved.

Come and join our small put growing community in the Shadow Election Facebook Page:

US bi-partisan politics damaging election debates

Democracy Index 2011

I was surprised to find out in the Economist’s Democracy in America blog just how damaging the overriding bi-partisan politics in America can be to free and candid election debate.

The article highlights how Romney’s moderate activities and personal outlook while governor of Massachusetts are being suppressed by both the Republicans and the Democrats: the Republicans want to appeal to the modern right wing; the Democrats don’t want to ameliorate the feelings of swing voters wary of Romney’s right wing pretensions.

This is an unfortunate state of affairs and shows, along with the unhealthy influence of corporate lobbying and campaign funding, why America does not rank in the top league of the Democracy Index.

It would be churlish to be too critical of American democracy since it still ranks very highly, but I’m sure many Americans would be surprised to find out they are not at the top, since they pride themselves as living in the Land of the Free.

Putting the candid back into election candidates

During the recent Finnish Presidential elections people were in general much more willing to share and talk about their voting intentions; a phenomenon we also witness in our Shadow Election voting advise application.

We have been warned that the polarized situation in America will prevent people from wanting to share their voting intentions; although Votizen is blazing the trail in this regard. If this is the case it is a pity since the debates around elections should be discussed openly both online and on couches.  Of course the right to a secret ballot is sacramental; however, the trend towards more open debate online  is growing at all levels of democracy from Russia to Kenya.

When millions speak out it becomes ever harder to conduct retribution – although social media was used by the Bahrainian government to crowdsource the process of identifying and tracking down Pearl Roundabout protestors.  However, without the overwhelming assistance of Saudi Arabia and acquiescence on the side of America due to their strategic interests, the outcome could have be quite different.

A recent Brooking’s report Ten Ways Social Media Can Improve Campaign Engagement and Reinvigorate American Democracy shows that we are very much on the right track with our Shadow Election project.

Are we brave enough to harness the power of social technologies to bring democracy back more directly to the people; back closer to a form of direct democracy that hasn’t been practiced since ancient Athenians gathered at the forum to vote on issues directly by a show of hands.

The practical necessities of large populations meant that representative electoral systems were inevitable; however, social technologies are now enabling us to overcome many of these constraints so that the relationship between citizens and politics could be made more personal and direct again.

Shadow Election doesn’t make such bold claims but it does aim to help activate. open up, and enhance democratic debate at all levels.

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Richard von Kaufmann is part of the Shadow Election team, and he has a driving passion to encourage people to adopt more transparent practices in all areas of public life from business processes to election systems: since secrecy shuns accountability, breeds arrogance, prohibits dialogue, breaks down trust, and corrodes decision-making.

Trust and transparency – Part 3

Continuing on from Part 2, I will continue to explore whether counties get the government they deserve and how elections can help improve transparency.

They say that if someone tells you that you can trust them, then you should be skeptical; since if they really were trustworthy then they wouldn’t need to tell you, it would be implicit in their conduct.

Is there a connection to this and the fact that many countries that profess to be democratic in their official names are far from democratic:  topping the list must be the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, but also includes the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. All countries that don’t score well in Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index and have not in recent times had a free and fair election.

What would you consider to be the simplest form of corrupt behaviour?

Although admittedly a bit extreme, I became very frustrated on my last visit to Kenya by the tradition of not showing any prices in many tourist shops in the hope of squeezing the last dollar out of gullible foreigner. The haggling game might be a bit of fun of the first time visitor, but having been there many times and knowing much of the going rates I started to find it at best time wasting and at worst insulting. This issue does not just effect tourists in many less developed countries as, for example,  I have had to see past Ethiopian colleagues bargain hard over simple things like charcoal.

In the same way that I showed the connection to Transparency and GDP per Captia in the last post, it would not surprise me if you could plot a similar graph showing that the more price haggling that goes on in a country the lower its GDP and the more corrupt it would be. Since even the exhibiting of a price for all to see is in itself a starting point of transparency. And after that I have not problem with bargaining as the start point is fair.

Just to prove the point made in the last post about Kenyan’s been hard to predict, after having walked out of one shop at a game park when presented with a ridiculous price of a kid’s safari hat, we later bought the same hat from a small shop on the way out run by a much younger Kenyan that gave the same starting price my brother had bargained for at the previous shop. When I even suggested a lower price he looked me in the eye with look that said this is a fair price don’t even think about it. After the last experience I was so impressed I actually thanked him for being so straight and walked away feeling more hopeful about the future of Kenya.

They say no seller will agree to a price where he loses money so you shouldn’t feel bad about bargaining hard. But in Ethiopia I have pushed it the point where traders wont sell even as I walked away – usually a sure way to get them to agree. At this level it might seem I am making a mountain our of a mole hill but scale this haggling practice upwards and you have an incredible waste of human energy. Is it surprising that the Asians who dominate trade in Kenya run the most successful shops were labeled pricing is the norm. Most people want clear, simple and easy transactions in their daily lives. It is our nature to look for the course of least resistance.

When my family was living in Nigeria in the 80s my parents refused to pay the acknowledged “tip” to get a phone installed and so we lived for years without one – until one day a high up military squash friend of my mother’s wished to call her to arrange a game and, upon finding out we didn’t have one, the next day a phone was installed. Nigerian corruption is notorious but listening to reports coming out of country there seems to be the start of a popular wave gathering to fight against it. A while back I heard a BBC interviewee on the Abuja street saying they were simply fed up with the reputation more than anything. Could it be that there is now less tolerance of corruption? Lets hope so, since Nigeria is a country with massive potential and if Nigerians can coordinate their intelligence and energies in more constructive directions they will be unstoppable. But for now the reputation proceeds them and this will unfortunately make others abroad be, if nothing else, just a little bit more suspicious in business negotiations. For the brave, however, investing in Nigeria is looking more and more like a good bet.

As kids we were sometimes frustrated by my father’s refusal to exercise some of his diplomatic privileges as head of a major international agricultural research programme, but, it was only superficial since we did really understood the wisdom of such an attitude and our complaints were more in the vain of lost wish fulfillment: he technically had the right to drive our red number-plated car on to the runway and get straight into the plane, but he wouldn’t even take advantage of the VIP lounge!

But as my UK grandmother used to say, it is not enough to be white, you have to be whiter than white – and this is especially the case living as a foreigner living in often unstable counties. If people later try to bring you down you can stand more firmly on a clear conscious – and at the end of the day that, and the love of our nearest and dearest, are the only things of value we can take with us to the grave.

My German grandfather had a policy of trying not to do anything that might cause him to lose sleep, and based on this principle he sold his Kenyan farm to the worker’s collective rather than putting it to auction. Whether this was wise in the long run is questionable, since the farm gradually became subdivided into inefficient family subplots  (fortunately this is an issue that is being addressed in the upcoming Kenyan election) and he died a relatively poor man; however, even if this  policy  might not make you rich it could make for a happier life in the long run. He was often gruff but never without a passion for life and was know widely for his respect for the individual and a sense of fair play – something that some put down as to the reason his farm was never effected by the often vicious rebel MauMau risings in the 60s.

More about my personal experiences of African in the next post in this series.

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Richard von Kaufmann is part of the Shadow Election team, and he has a driving passion to encourage people to adopt more transparent practices in all areas of public life from business processes to election systems: since secrecy shuns accountability, breeds arrogance, prohibits dialogue, breaks down trust, and corrodes decision-making.

Trust and transparency – Part 2

Continuing on from Part 1, I will continue to explore whether counties get the government they deserve and how elections can help improve transparency.

Russia’s fair election

“Putin won Russia’s March 4 elections with a resounding 63 per cent. Though the vote has been dogged by fraud claims, most recognise that he would have nonetheless won a fair election.” Financial Times May 13

In the many parts of the worlds there is still a respect of the big man culture. And although more and more open challenging and discussion is taking place in Russia it seems that the majority still look up to Putin as powerful figurehead; therefore, is it any surprise that he flaunts international standards regarding holding a free and fair election – quod erat demonstrandum: people get the government they deserve.

But of course that doesn’t included everyone in a nation, and there are many in Russia who are putting up a brave fight for more fair and transparent government.  And I personally believe that Putin is aware that the days of his autocratic style of government are numbered and that over the next eight years he will slowly be putting in place the mechanisms and laws for a more liberal just democratic nation. After all he has no interest in someone like him being a replacement.

In fact, from a long-term perspective, Putin (despite some odd idiosyncrasies) could prove to be a very smart and tactical politician: for a long time Medvedev  has been saying many positive things from an international point of view, but the perception is that he has been a puppet leader with no real power. But considering Russia’s history it would be unlikely that a “nice” guy like Medvedev would have been able to bring in the require modernization without the backing of a hardball sponsor like Putin. Putin has not being trying to silence Medvedev and this could be so that when Putin comes to stand down, after having reinforced the rule of law, he can promote Medvedev as a man of integrity how has not changed his tune. Putin then wins personal security and historical plaudits from reforming Russia for the good.

If you want some evidence of this hypothesis then check out this recent lead article by in the Financial Times; and this one written by Putin himself.

A Russian friend once told me that in her youth it was not considered outrageous to give a bottle of whiskey to jump the doctor’s queue – I hope that this is no longer the case but when I visited Moscow a couple of years ago and talked with people who had lived there many years (including a Finnish diplomat) there was definitely a sense of “might is right” and if you have the money you can get your way – there was evidence of this just driving around the city observing planning policy.

Whilst in Moscow I read an newspaper article I read at the about a Russian oligarch  who was out raged by the planning refusal somewhere on the east coast of America for his mansion with 17 toilets.  Admittedly he did have a sense of humor about it (you must need one in Russia) by saying that they didn’t understand that when you’ve grown up with no toilets you want to go to the other extreme, and that the house was so big he didn’t want his guests getting caught short.  But the point is that there is a connection to what everyday people are willing to tolerate and want goes on at the top.

As you travel round the world you release that people are pretty much the same; as the folk singer M Ward says “We all share the same concerns, loves and hatreds” but there is no denying how cultural influence effects how we deal with these concerns.

One only has to look to Russia’s neighbour Finland to see an almost opposite situation: trust between Finns is a given and if you break it you are gradually shunned out. Political transgressions that would not even appear on an Italian political radar result in high-level resignations. And therefore it is not surprising that Finland has been at the top level of Transparency International’s charts for many years. This amount of trust is a national asset that is often over looked when assessing national resources: the evidence between national transparency and personal wealth is undeniable, just check out this chart if you have any doubts:

The logic is simple: more trust, more efficient business transactions, more business, more wealth for all.  (Holding up political candidates to their election pledges is one of the aims  of our Shadow Election project)

But some countries, rather than punishing fraud, verge on celebrating it. If what I am about to say would have come from me it could be easy to dismiss it as racist, however, I am referencing a Cameroonian tennis friend who explained that in Cameroon, and also in his opinion Nigeria, there is a very old village view that if you get tricked then more fool you, and the trickster is the clever one for out smarting you. And at the village level this could all be seen as a bit of fun one up man-ship; however, as the stakes get higher this becomes very damaging.

He explained that in a Cameroonian business negotiation you can waste half your energies trying to work out how the other guy is trying to trick you. This is clearly inefficient and discouraging to business activity: resulting in less wealth and more poverty.

I lived in Nigeria for over ten years and somebody who had lived and worked his whole life in various African countries expressed the view that at least Nigerians are honest about their dishonesty, where as in Kenya it is much harder since some people are corrupt but others very sincere – so you can’t tell where you stand and can more easily offend people when being rigorous with checks.

In Africa, as in Russia, there is also a damaging adherence to the big man culture in Africa.   I have lived at least a third of my life in the vast continent and witnessed how otherwise upright expatriates can easily slip into the casual corruptions of daily graft: a crate of beer here to speed up the  delaying tactics of a police road block; a small bribe there to avoid a traffic fine, and so on. You are partially coerced into it, for example, I was once stopped in Addis Ababa for making a forbidden U-turn at the crossing point of a main road.  I truly had not seen the sign that I later noticed was half submerged in bushes, however, I was surprised how long the policeman was taking to explain the situation to me. Despite my protests he eventually and clearly reluctantly took out the ticket papers. While he was filling out the papers my Ethiopian passenger asked why I spent so much time talking when the policeman was clearly giving me plenty of time to produce the expected “gratuity”; now it turned out I would be paying out many, many times more – more fool me. And I did indeed feel a bit like the fool.

It is easy to take the moral high ground but it is also easy to understand how these underpaid civil servants can convince themselves that these personal payments are perks of the job necessary to keep their families out of dire straights. But when does a national culture rally against such attitudes to the point where more productive steps can be taken to raise the national income to the point where the governments can, from the greater tax revenue generated from more business and thorough transparent efficient tax collection, start paying civil servants decent wages.

Elections can help promote people with good ideas on how the law can be improved; however, as C.K. Prahalad pointed out in his book The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid, good laws are not enough: ““The capacity to facilitate commercial transactions through a system of laws fairly enforced is critical to the development of the private sector.”

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Richard von Kaufmann is part of the Shadow Election team, and he has a driving passion to encourage people to adopt more transparent practices in all areas of public life from business processes to election systems: since secrecy shuns accountability, breeds arrogance, prohibits dialogue, breaks down trust, and corrodes decision-making.

Trust and transparency – Part 1

Democracy and transparency are in my opinion the cornerstones of building a healthy society and a better world.  There are, however, many types of democratic systems and many different ways of being transparent; and there are many questions about the limitations of democracy and concerns about appropriate forms of transparency.

These are issues I will be exploring over the coming weeks in a series of blog posts.

Do people get the government they deserve?

There is a well known phrase that says; “People get the government they deserve.”  It has been attributed to Joseph de Maistre: “Toute nation a le gouvernement qu’elle mérite.” (Every country has the government it deserves.) Lettres et Opuscules Inédits (1851). However, I feel that it could be better expressed as “Every nation gets the government it is willing to tolerate.”

In the histories of every democracy there are flash points on the long tortuous road to democracy where people say enough is enough and take action against the corrupt status quo; and in a process of two steps forward, one step back, their inexorable march brings them closer and closer to free elections and greater self determination.

The people in the UK set off on this journey long ago: first the barons started reducing the power of monarch with the Magna Carter in 1215; then in 1381 there was the Peasants’ Revolt, a popular uprising that was brutally suppress but initiated the demise of feudalism; next parliament and elections were strengthen with the Bill of Rights in 1689, later followed by the Great Reform Act of 1832 which increased the number of individuals entitled to vote and helped avoid the revolutions that were causing catastrophe in other parts of Europe around that time. There have been many benefits out of this struggle, not least the fact that has not been civil warn in England for over 350 years.

It is no accident that Sweden-Finland, two countries that regularly top Transparency International’s least corrupt countries charts, introduced the world’s first Freedom of the Press Act  in 1766 (mainly due to classical liberal Finnish member of parliament Anders Chydenius).

The struggle for democracy continues and is being accelerated by social media. When Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire it before the Tunisian Revolution it was the catalyst for a movement that had already been using social media to unite, develop strategies and tell an alternative national “story” – a story of democracy and free elections. On 17 December 2010, when the policewoman confiscated Bouaziz’s cart and produce, denying him the ability to provide of his family, and taking way his dignity and hope, that was the last straw: people will tolerate a great deal but if you take away their hope that will surely cause revolution. And in a way an election is a renewal of hope – for there is always a chance for a new government to bring change for the better (even if that doesn’t always materialize).

The points that I will now layout in these upcoming posts are admittedly easy for me to make from the comfort of my sofa, but behind my comfort lies generations who put their lives on the line for my right to exercise freedom of speech, and have a reasonable chance for a dignified life.

And the extreme end of this process is continuing with the Arab Spring, but the willingness to tolerate wrong doing needs to be constantly checked even at the most mundane level: each time we turn a blind eye another brick is added to the wall that separates those that add value to society and those that feed off it. Otherwise it might fall on the generations that follow to have tear down the wall, while being fired at or carried off to suffer the intolerable barbarity of men and women’s primeval depravity – exposed through the erosion of our innate empathy by fear, repression and desperation.

There is no use in putting this behaviour down to evil, since such people, like the educated middle lasses of Nazi Germany, are no different from you or me. As George Orwell’s 1984 book so vividly demonstrates – given enough time and resources we can all be broken down; some may resist longer than others and they should be celebrated, but most of us would prefer not to have to find out the limits of our mettle.

The more primitive and selfish parts of our minds can easily rise to the fore when higher-level thinking and innate empathy are eroded by fear, repression and desperation – forces that drive the “evil” acts of the those in power.

They is an old saying “Live by the sword, die by the sword.” However, the genius of the Mo Ibrahim Prize is it gives leaders a chance to break the chain of violence and step down without sacrificing their personal wealth.

At what point do we decide enough is enough? Both in our own countries and abroad. For ones heart must go out to those current generations fighting for democratic rights that many of us take for-granted; for often, as currently in Barhain, the stories of freedom and self-determination can so easily be crushed by the incumbent powers bent of keeping their ill gotten gains.

We might be safe at home but sometimes our democratic governments are implicitly supporting despotic regimes when it suits them, like making use of naval facilities or enjoying some car racing.

Election dreams live on

Although the Barhainian government used Facebook to crowdsource the identification of protestors who joined in the Perl Roundabout demonstrations. I would like to think that social media will increase our circles of empathy and continue to reduce overall global violence in the same way that other communication technologies (including the printed press) have helped bring about.

The election wishes of the many Barhainians continue to live on and despite the repression. Will the authorities there and in Syria wake up and introduce fundamental voting reforms like England did in 1832, or will they cling on against the tide of history and ferment more bloodshed as the French court of Louis XVI did together with Nicolas II, the last Tsar of Russia.

Regarding modern Russia, that’s another story…

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Richard von Kaufmann is part of the Shadow Election team, and he has a driving passion to encourage people to adopt more transparent practices in all areas of public life from business processes to election systems: since secrecy shuns accountability, breeds arrogance, prohibits dialogue, breaks down trust, and corrodes decision-making.

American Election Terminology – Part 6

The quest to understand American election terminology continues and today’s word is:

Muckraking

As described in the navigating-political-terminology-in-an-election-year infographic:

The act of searching out and publicizing scandalous information about another candidate in an unhanded way.

Muckraking can have benefits in keeping an election fair and above board

Although we now tend to think of muckraking as a devious activity to undermine candidates, it roots were more honerable as described in by Theodore Roosevelt:

“There are, in the body politic, economic and social, many and grave evils, and there is urgent necessity for the sternest war upon them. There should be relentless exposure of and attack upon every evil man whether politician or business man, every evil practice, whether in politics, in business, or in social life. I hail as a benefactor every writer or speaker, every man who, on the platform, or in book, magazine, or newspaper, with merciless severity makes such attack, provided always that he in his turn remembers that the attack is of use only if it is absolutely truthful.”

 

American Election Terminology – Part 5

The quest to understand American election terminology continues and today’s word is:

Gerrymandering

As described in the navigating-political-terminology-in-an-election-year infographic:

A slang term which refers to the redrawing of the boundaries of a district so that the new district favors a particular party or candidate, typically the one in power.

Gerrymander is a portmanteau word coming from the redrawing of Massachusetts state senate election districts under the then-governor Elbridge Gerry and the fact that one of the most extreme shapes was liken to look like a salamander.

The effects of gerrymandering are complex and I find it depressing to think that democratic systems can be manipulated so cynically.  Having lived in Finland for many years I am starting to believe that their proportional election system (as practiced in many other continental states) is more healthy than first-past-the-post systems.

Gerrymandering is most effective in non-proportional election systems, such as the American and UK first-past-the post system.

 

 

Fighting for election rights

Would you die for the right to participate in a free election

In many countries we take elections as a fact of life, and forget how our ancestors had to fight with their lives to secure our democratic rights.

What happens when people don’t have the right to participate in a fee election

I just watched this Aljazeera video about the brutal suppression of the democratic movement in Bahrain.

It is hard to watch but it definitely reminds those living in democracies just how luck we are.

Bahrain: Shouting in the Dark

Democratic systems are far from perfect but as Winston Churchill said; “Democracy is the worst form of government except for all those others that have been tried.”

China has been doing well up until now partly as a result of the historical system of appointing highly competent people into government, but many cracks are starting to show now and early signs of a willingness to expand democratic type practices within the party are starting to appear.

 

American Election Terminology – Part 4

The quest to understand American election terminology continues and today’s word is:

Super PAC

As described in the navigating-political-terminology-in-an-election-year infographic:

A Political Action Committee, or PAC, is an organization that campaigns for or against political candidates, ballot initiatives, or legislation. They are allowed to raise and spend unlimited amounts of money from corporations, unions, individuals, and associations.

Super PAC election manipulation

Super PACs have come under criticism for not being transparent about their sources. And there is much controversy about their use in the current US Presidential Election.

American Election Terminology – Part 3

The quest to understand American election terminology continues and today’s word is:

Swing State

As described in the navigating-political-terminology-in-an-election-year infographic:

“A state in which no single candidate or party has the majority of support in securing the state’s vote. ”

2008 swing states. States where the margin of victory was less than 6% are colored blue if Obama won and red if McCain won.

The Electoral College system in the US means that campaigning parties tend to ignore the states in which they are either secure of winning or are sure of loosing. Therefore, they put most effort in campaigning in the so called swing states where they can make real gains.

The first past the post system use by most states encourages this behaviour since the winning party gets all the electors.

Opponents of the electoral system say this means that swing states get a disproportionate amount of attention and influence.